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Model picks & player props
New York City FC
VS
New England Revolution

New York City FC vs New England Revolution Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 9:14AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 8:30PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
77.3%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 2.5 Total Goals +110

The model graded 21 markets for New York City FC vs New England Revolution (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $210 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 77.3% across 22 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 8:30PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.9%
The price says45.4%
Best price+110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 2.5 Lean51% chance +110
Spread High94% chance —
Total Goals High73% chance —
Total Goals High87% chance —
Spread High98% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean43% chance —
Both Teams to Score Long-shot37% chance —
Total Goals High95% chance —
Total Goals High98% chance —
Shots × 1 prop Long-shotup to 7% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

New York City FC and New England Revolution last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 2.5 · $100 returned $210

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 37 bookmakers compared
Winner
Revolution3.33+233Kalshi
Draw3.85+285Kalshi
FC2.23+123Bovada
Total goals
Over2.51.72-138Kalshi
Under2.52.27+127Kalshi

New York City FC vs New England Revolution odds by bookmaker

37 books · best price in green
BookRevolution winFC winFC -0.5Over 2.5Under 2.5
BetOnline3.20+2202.15+1152.15+115——
Bovada2.95+1952.23+123———
Kalshi3.33+2332.17+117—1.72-1382.27+127
LowVig3.20+2202.15+1152.15+115——
MyBookie3.06+2062.11+1112.07+107——
Polymarket3.28+2282.30+130—1.75-1332.33+133
888sport3.00+2002.15+115———
Bally Bet3.20+2202.16+116———
Bet Victor2.90+1902.15+115———
Betano2.90+1902.15+115———
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10+2102.22+122———
Betfair Sb (UK)3.10+2102.10+110———
Betfred3.00+2002.10+110———
BetMGM3.10+2102.10+110———

Since the market opened: FC to win opened 1.98, best now 2.30; the over 2.5 opened 1.64, best now 1.75 (decimal, best book).

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 55 of 114 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Arsenal
Chelsea @ Arsenal
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $126
Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
2.5
+110
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,619+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England RevolutionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England RevolutionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England RevolutionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England RevolutionDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York City FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

New England Revolution

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York City FC vs New England Revolution: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
James Sands New York City FC Shots

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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New York City FC @ New England Revolution — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for New York City FC at New England Revolution — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York City FC vs New England Revolution — recent results

New England Revolution have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York City FC have won 1 of their last 5.

New England Revolution — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2LAAway
W3–1CLBAway
L1–2TORAway
L0–2HOUHome
D2–2MTLAway
New York City FC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D0–0NSHHome
D1–1TORAway
L2–3PHIHome
D1–1TORHome
W3–1CHIHome

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
22
Total Picks
77.3%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Both Teams to Score No ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 15.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 14.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) New York City FC ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Moneyline New York City FC ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Moneyline Draw ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New England Revolution +3.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New England Revolution +1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New England Revolution +2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 1.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 3.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 4.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York City FC vs New England Revolution in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 77.3% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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