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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for David Affengruber is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target.
On Shots on Target, our numbers say this bet wins about 29 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 29%, implied 13%, edge +15.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Aug 17, 6:57AM UTC
Soccer

David Affengruber

Elche

+15.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Target Over 0.5 +650 (7.50) · $100→$750
+15.4% Edge
Elche CF @ Deportivo La Coruña
Mon 17 Aug, 7:00PM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
29 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Shots on Target
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 28.8% · the book's price implies 13.3% · gap +15.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Target28.8%13.3%3.48+15.4%

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AI Analysis

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David Affengruber (Elche) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+650)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Deportivo La Coruña prepares to host Elche CF, all eyes should be on David Affengruber as he looks to make his mark. While his recent performances might not scream "goal threat," there's a hidden potential waiting to be unlocked, especially in an away fixture. Affengruber averages just 0.2 shots on target per game away, but he has the opportunity to capitalize against a Deportivo side that has shown some defensive vulnerabilities this season. In the last four matches, he’s managed one shot on target, suggesting that when he gets the chance, he’s ready to test the keeper. With Elche needing to push for points, expect them to create more opportunities, allowing Affengruber to position himself for that crucial shot. The model predicts a slight edge for him to find the net, making the over on 0.5 shots on target a savvy play. It’s time to bet on potential turning into performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

David Affengruber (Elche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for David Affengruber is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Elche CF vs Deportivo La Coruña on Monday 17 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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