What types of La Liga picks are available?

We cover 1X2 (moneyline), Asian Handicap, Over or Under goals (totals), and player props when available, with model probability and an edge estimate for each bet.

How often are the La Liga picks updated?

Picks are refreshed daily and can update as team news, lineups, injuries, or odds move. Our models re run to reflect the latest inputs.

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La Liga Picks

Q: Are these picks guaranteed to win?

No. Sports outcomes are uncertain. The goal is to find positive expected value over time, not to predict every match perfectly.

Get expert La Liga picks powered by advanced data analysis. Our predictions combine actuarial mathematics, machine learning, and AI to produce probability and edge estimates for each market, then we explain the “why” in plain English.

Updated daily Probability and edge 1X2, handicap, totals, props Clear reasoning

What are La Liga picks?

La Liga picks are betting predictions for Spanish league matches. Bet Better publishes AI driven probability and edge for markets like 1X2, Asian Handicap, Over or Under goals, and player props. Each pick includes a short explanation so you can understand the logic, not just the number.

Best for Finding value bets using probability vs odds

Markets 1X2, handicap, totals, props

Update cadence Daily, and can refresh as odds move

How to use Prioritise higher edge, shop odds, manage bankroll

Today’s picks How to read picks Markets explained FAQs Trust and methodology

Today’s La Liga picks

Open any match to see picks by market. Each row shows model probability, edge, and best odds. Scroll down for a quick guide on how to interpret these numbers and FAQs.

La Liga • SEV vs. GET 2026-02-22 13:00 •

Sevilla Away

vs.

Home Getafe

Show Picks

Sevilla at Getafe: Sevilla Head to Head h2h_Sevilla_NA

Probability 37.6%

Edge 8.2%

Best Odds 240

Getafe vs Sevilla: Sevilla Moneyline (+240)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Sevilla is a solid bet for the Match Winner market due to their superior performance in recent games, particularly when playing away. In their last five away games, Sevilla has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, compared to Getafe's 1 goal per game at home. This is further supported by the xG (expected goals) data, which shows Sevilla outperforming Getafe both overall and in away games. Additionally, Sevilla's defensive performance has been stronger, conceding fewer goals on average in their last five away games (0.6) compared to Getafe's home games (1.2). Even though the head-to-head record between these two teams is evenly matched, Sevilla's better scoring and defensive performance make them a good choice for this bet.

Getafe vs. Sevilla Head to Head 3-Way Sevilla

Probability

Edge 8.2%

La Liga • LEV vs. BAR 2026-02-22 15:15 •

Levante Away

vs.

Home Barcelona

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Levante at Barcelona: Levante Spread 3

Probability 78.1%

Edge 16.4%

Best Odds -161

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante +3 Goal Handicap (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Levante 3' for the Handicap (Alternate) market in the Barcelona vs Levante game is driven by Barcelona's overwhelming recent performance. Barcelona's last five games show a strong scoring average of 3.4 goals per game, compared to Levante's 2. Their expected goals (xG) average is also significantly higher at 2.3 versus Levante's 1.76. Furthermore, Barcelona's home record is impeccable with 5 wins out of 5, while Levante's away record is mixed with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The handicap of 3 goals for Levante is chosen to balance Barcelona's dominant performance. Despite Levante's inferior stats, the handicap provides a buffer and increases the chance of a winning bet, even if Barcelona outperforms Levante as the stats suggest they will.

Barcelona vs. Levante Head to Head Draw

Probability

Edge 10.2%

Barcelona vs. Levante Head to Head 3-Way Draw

Probability

Edge 10.2%

Barcelona vs. Levante Head to Head Levante

Probability

Edge 8.1%

Barcelona vs. Levante Head to Head 3-Way Levante

Probability

Edge 8.1%

La Liga • MLL vs. CEL 2026-02-22 17:30 •

Mallorca Away

vs.

Home Celta Vigo

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Mallorca at Celta Vigo: Mallorca Head to Head h2h_Mallorca_NA

Probability 30.2%

Edge 6.9%

Best Odds 330

Celta Vigo vs Mallorca: Mallorca Moneyline (+330)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Mallorca as the Match Winner is justified by their superior head-to-head record against Celta Vigo, winning three of their last five encounters. Despite a weaker overall and away record, Mallorca's performance data indicates a more robust attacking potential. Their average expected goals (xG) stands at 1.46, higher than Celta Vigo's 1.38. Additionally, Mallorca has a higher average shots sum (10.8) and shots on target sum (2.8) compared to Celta Vigo's 9.2 and 2.4 respectively. These stats indicate that Mallorca has a higher likelihood of scoring. Furthermore, Mallorca's higher average tackles won sum (9.8) indicates a stronger defensive performance. Considering these factors, betting on Mallorca to win the match is a statistically sound choice.

Celta Vigo vs. Mallorca Head to Head 3-Way Mallorca

Probability

Edge 6.9%

La Liga • VAL vs. VIL 2026-02-22 20:00 •

Valencia Away

vs.

Home Villarreal

Show Picks

Valencia at Villarreal: Draw Head to Head h2h_Draw_NA

Probability 28.4%

Edge 2.8%

Best Odds 290

Villarreal vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+290)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting rationale for a 'Draw' in the Villarreal vs Valencia game is rooted in the teams' recent performance data. Both teams have a similar record in their last 5 games, with Villarreal at 2-1-2 and Valencia at 2-2-1, indicating a comparable level of form. Additionally, their head-to-head record over the last 5 games shows a dominance of draws (3 out of 5). This suggests a closely matched competition. Furthermore, the average scores and expected goals (xG) of both teams are quite close, with Villarreal's home scores averaging 1 and Valencia's away scores averaging 1.4. The similar xG values further indicate that both teams have a comparable offensive potential. These statistics suggest that neither team has a clear advantage going into this game, making a draw a plausible outcome.

Villarreal vs. Valencia Head to Head 3-Way Draw

Probability

Edge 2.8%

Villarreal vs. Valencia Head to Head Valencia

Probability

Edge 1.2%

Villarreal vs. Valencia Head to Head 3-Way Valencia

Probability

Edge 1.2%

How to read probability and edge

These picks are designed to be scanned quickly, then understood fast. Here’s how to interpret the columns:

Field	What it means	How to use it
Probability	The model’s estimated chance the outcome occurs.	Higher probability is generally safer, but price matters.
Edge	How much the model differs from the market’s implied probability.	Focus on positive edge over time. Do not chase one game.
Best Odds	The best available price we can display for that market.	Always shop odds. Small differences compound across seasons.

Quick rule of thumb: if two picks have similar reasoning, prioritise the one with higher edge at a good price. Then manage risk with consistent staking.

See best bets Compare odds Player props Match analytics

La Liga markets explained

If you’re new to soccer betting, these are the most common markets you’ll see on this page.

What is 1X2?

1X2 is the classic match result market: 1 is home win, X is draw, 2 is away win.

What is Asian Handicap?

Asian Handicap adjusts the score with a goal start to balance teams. It can reduce draw risk and create clearer prices.

What are totals?

Totals are Over or Under goals, like Over 2.5. You’re betting on total goals in the match, not the winner.

What are player props?

Props are player specific markets, such as goal scorer or assists, depending on what markets are available.

If you want a tighter, curated set of picks, use Best Bets. If you prefer to build combinations, use Parlays.

FAQs

What are La Liga picks?

La Liga picks are betting predictions for Spanish league matches. This page publishes AI driven probabilities and edge for multiple markets, plus a short explanation for each selection.

What types of picks do you cover?

We cover 1X2, Asian Handicap, totals (Over or Under goals), and player props when markets are available.

How often are picks updated?

Picks are refreshed daily and can update as odds move and as team news changes.

How do you calculate probability and edge?

Probability is the model’s estimated chance of the outcome. Edge compares that estimate to the implied probability from odds, highlighting potential value.

Are these picks guaranteed to win?

No. The aim is positive expected value across many bets, not perfect prediction in a single match.

Trust and methodology

Bet Better publishes picks generated from data driven models and then explained in human language. If you want deeper detail on how we approach modelling, see the methodology page below.

Modelling methodology Terms Privacy

Bet Better Editorial

AI assisted modelling, updated daily

We aim for clarity, transparency, and responsible betting guidance. If you spot an issue on this page, contact us via the site contact options.

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La Liga Picks

What are La Liga picks?

Today’s La Liga picks

Getafe vs Sevilla: Sevilla Moneyline (+240)

Getafe vs Sevilla: Sevilla Moneyline (+240)

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante +3 Goal Handicap (-161)

Barcelona vs Levante: Draw Moneyline (+800)

Barcelona vs Levante: Draw Moneyline (+800)

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante Moneyline (+1800)

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante Moneyline (+1800)

Celta Vigo vs Mallorca: Mallorca Moneyline (+330)

Celta Vigo vs Mallorca: Mallorca Moneyline (+330)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+290)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+290)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Valencia Moneyline (+370)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Valencia Moneyline (+370)

How to read probability and edge

La Liga markets explained

What is 1X2?

What is Asian Handicap?

What are totals?

What are player props?

FAQs

Trust and methodology

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La Liga Picks

What are La Liga picks?

Today’s La Liga picks

Getafe vs Sevilla: Sevilla Moneyline (+240)

Getafe vs Sevilla: Sevilla Moneyline (+240)

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante +3 Goal Handicap (-161)

Barcelona vs Levante: Draw Moneyline (+800)

Barcelona vs Levante: Draw Moneyline (+800)

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante Moneyline (+1800)

Barcelona vs Levante: Levante Moneyline (+1800)

Celta Vigo vs Mallorca: Mallorca Moneyline (+330)

Celta Vigo vs Mallorca: Mallorca Moneyline (+330)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+290)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+290)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Valencia Moneyline (+370)

Villarreal vs Valencia: Valencia Moneyline (+370)

How to read probability and edge

La Liga markets explained

What is 1X2?

What is Asian Handicap?

What are totals?

What are player props?

FAQs

Trust and methodology

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The House Always Wins.
Until Now.