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Model picks & player props
Nantes
VS
Auxerre

Nantes vs Auxerre Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 26, 8:51AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Outdoor
Sat 11 Apr 2026, 5:00PM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Nantes (Head to Head)
For Nantes vs Auxerre (Soccer), model win probability 32.6%, fair odds 3.07, book price +280, model edge +6.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 11 Apr 2026, 5:00PM at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Nantes
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
NantesHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NantesHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NantesDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

FC Nantes

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

AJ Auxerre

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Nantes vs Auxerre: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNantes @ AuxerreNo line posted
1-1-2H2H (last 4)
Home form5-8-7Away form5-7-8
H2H home wins1 / 4 home

In their last 4 meetings, Auxerre have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreNantes @ AuxerreNo line posted
2 / 4H2H both scored
Auxerre55%Nantes65%
H2H both scored2 / 4 BTTS

Both teams scored in 55% of Auxerre's and 65% of Nantes's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsNantes @ AuxerreNo line posted
1 / 4H2H over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.540%H2H avg2.0
H2H over 2.51 / 4 over

The last 4 meetings averaged 2.0 goals, over 2.5 in 1 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Nantes @ Auxerre — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning soccer bets for Auxerre playing Nantes. Featuring picks like NA player props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, Ligue 1 parlay odds, soccer parlay.</p>

Auxerre vs Nantes: Nantes Draw No Bet (+170)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Auxerre prepares to host Nantes, recent form suggests that betting on Nantes in the Draw No Bet market is worth considering. Despite their struggles away, Nantes has a better recent record against Auxerre, winning two of their last three encounters. Meanwhile, Auxerre's home performance, while decent with three wins in the last five, hasn’t been particularly convincing, averaging just 1.4 goals scored and allowing 0.8 at home. Their xG of 1.6 at home reflects a tendency to create chances but also indicates they can be vulnerable defensively. Nantes, despite a shaky away record, has shown resilience recently, with an xG of 1.26 away from home. Their ability to keep games tight, along with their favorable matchup history, makes them a compelling choice here. Considering all factors, Nantes stands a solid chance to at least avoid defeat, making this bet a smart play.

Auxerre vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+280)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Auxerre prepares to host Nantes, the stats paint a compelling picture for an away victory. Nantes has shown resilience with a recent record of two wins in their last five, while Auxerre, although solid at home with a 3-1-1 record, recently struggled against tougher opponents. Their last five matches have yielded an average of just 1.4 goals scored at home, while they’ve allowed an impressive 0.4 goals, highlighting their defensive prowess. However, Nantes boasts a slightly better xG average on the road (1.26) compared to Auxerre's home xG of 1.6. Moreover, Auxerre’s defense has faced an xG of 2.46 from their last away opponents, which suggests they may be vulnerable. Given the recent form and trends, backing Nantes to claim victory seems like a savvy move.

Auxerre vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+280)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Auxerre hosts Nantes this Saturday, the momentum clearly favors the visitors. Nantes may have stumbled recently, but their historical record against Auxerre, winning two of the last three encounters, suggests they know how to navigate this matchup. While Auxerre boasts a solid home form with a 3-1-1 record, they've been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals in their last five games. In contrast, Nantes has shown resilience, averaging a respectable 1.2 goals scored away, even amidst tougher conditions. When you look at expected goals (xG), Auxerre's average of 1.6 xG at home surpasses Nantes' away performance, but Nantes has been adept at limiting high-quality chances. With Auxerre struggling to keep clean sheets and Nantes hunting for a much-needed win, backing Nantes for a victory feels like a savvy play in this classic Ligue One showdown.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
11 Apr 26 Moneyline Nantes ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Nantes ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Nantes vs Auxerre in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 11 April 2026 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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