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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Stones is Over 1.5 on Shots.
On the Shots market the model assigns a model win probability of 13%, versus the book's implied 11%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Jul 28, 7:10AM UTC
Soccer

John Stones

Manchester City

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 1.5 +850 (9.50)
+2.6% Edge
England @ France
Sat 18 Jul, 9:00PM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
13.1%
Implied Probability
10.5%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
0.2 Shots

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots13.1%10.5%7.64+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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John Stones (England) Over 1.5 Shots (+850)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As England gears up to face France in this high-stakes World Cup clash, John Stones could be an intriguing player to watch, especially for those looking at the total shots market. Now, while his recent shot tally might not jump off the page—averaging just 0.2 shots per game—there’s a narrative at play here. With France likely pressing hard, Stones, a central defender, could find himself in positions to capitalize on set pieces or even venture forward during counter-attacks, especially if England looks to soak up pressure. In pivotal matches, defenders sometimes emerge as unlikely shooters, and given the stakes, there's a chance he could break his recent away dry spell. With the odds favoring this over at 1.5 shots, it’s a risk worth taking. Sometimes, it’s about betting on opportunity, and Stones might just surprise us when it counts.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

John Stones (Manchester City) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Stones is Over 1.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is England vs France on Saturday 18 July. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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