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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jayden Bogle is Over 2.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 10%, implied 4%, edge +9.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 1:46AM UTC
Soccer

Jayden Bogle

Sheffield United

+9.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 2.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
+9.3% Edge
Newcastle United @ Leeds United
Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire · Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep, 7:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 75 of 158 right
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
14 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 13.7% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +9.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots13.7%10.4%4.3%9.59+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jayden Bogle (Leeds United) Over 2.5 Shots (+2200)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Leeds United prepares to face Newcastle, all eyes should be on Jayden Bogle. While his recent form shows modest averages—just 0.4 shots per game overall and 1 at home—there’s an intriguing narrative at play. Leeds is known for their aggressive style, often inviting opponents into a high-paced game. This could translate into more opportunities for Bogle to cut inside and unleash shots, especially with Newcastle's defense occasionally vulnerable to quick breaks. Moreover, Bogle’s potential to exceed his recent averages is underscored by the dynamics of this matchup. The combination of playing at Elland Road, where the crowd can invigorate performance, and the desperate need for Leeds to secure points could ignite a more assertive display from him. Given the statistical edge suggesting he could step up against Newcastle, targeting Bogle for over 2.5 shots seems like a savvy bet, capitalizing on both his potential and the match context.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Sep 26 Newcastle United @ Leeds United Shots 2.5 Over +2200 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jayden Bogle (Sheffield United) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jayden Bogle is Over 2.5 on Shots. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle United vs Leeds United on Monday 14 September at Elland Road, Leeds. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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