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Soccer

Fabio Chiarodia

Werder Bremen

Value call

Fabio Chiarodia (Werder Bremen) has one live pick today: over 0.5 shots that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
0.4 shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 41.0% · before adjusting for past results 46.0% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap -2.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Borussia Monchengladbach @ VfB Stuttgart
MHPArena, Stuttgart, Baden-W?rttemberg · Outdoor
Fri 23 Oct, 8:30 PM CEST
Fabio Chiarodia
over 0.5 shots
Shots Over 0.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LEANWins about 41 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Fabio Chiarodia is Over 0.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 41 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 41%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 4:28AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$3,669 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots46.0%41.0%43.5%2.44+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Fabio Chiarodia (Borussia Mönchengladbach) Over 0.5 Shots (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Borussia Monchengladbach prepares for their clash against VfB Stuttgart, keep an eye on Fabio Chiarodia, particularly in the shots market. While his recent form might not leap off the page—with a modest away average of 0.4 shots—there’s reason to believe he’ll break through the 0.5 mark in this matchup. Stuttgart tends to allow opportunities, and Chiarodia’s role as a forward could see him capitalizing on any defensive lapses. The numbers suggest that even in a conservative approach, he can find a way to get a shot off. With the implied probability sitting at a solid 43.5%, there’s value in betting on Chiarodia to register at least one attempt. Given the dynamics of the game and the need for attacking options, this could be the perfect moment for him to step up and contribute, making the Over 0.5 shots a compelling play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Fabio Chiarodia's lines for Fri 23 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots 0.5
+130 best over price · 1 book

Fabio Chiarodia's shots line is 0.5, best over price +130 across 1 book.

Fabio Chiarodia — 2023 season

Fabio Chiarodia scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 3 Bundesliga appearances for Werder Bremen in the 2023 season, from 0 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.0.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.0
xG
0
Shots
0
On target
0
Key passes
3
Apps
66
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Fabio Chiarodia (Werder Bremen) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Fabio Chiarodia is Over 0.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Borussia Monchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart on Friday 23 October at MHPArena, Stuttgart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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