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The latest Bet Better model pick for Samuela Fainu is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 3 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 3%, implied 3%, edge +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 21, 12:35PM UTC
NRL

Samuela Fainu

NRL

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +3300 (34.00) · $100→$3,400
+0.0% Edge
Wests Tigers @ Sydney Roosters
Sun 23 Aug, 6:05AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
3 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 2.9% · the book's price implies 2.9% · gap +0.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over2.9%—2.9%33.92+0.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers: Samuela Fainu Over 1.5 Tries (+3300)

Odds available at TAB at time of publishing

On Sunday 23 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Wests Tigers in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Samuela Fainu Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Samuela Fainu scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Samuela Fainu is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Samuela Fainu is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Wests Tigers vs Sydney Roosters on Sunday 23 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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