Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Robert Toia is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 12, 6:44PM UTC
NRL

Robert Toia

NRL

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +10000 (101.00) · $100→$10,100
+0.1% Edge
Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers
Sun 13 Sep, 6:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 149 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.1% · the book's price implies 1.0% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.1%—1.0%89.38+0.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters: Robert Toia Over 2.5 Tries (+10000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Robert Toia Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Robert Toia scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Robert Toia has scored a try in each of his last 2 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Robert Toia's lines for Sun 13 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Tries Over 2.5

Robert Toia's tries over line is 2.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Robert Toia is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Robert Toia is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers on Sunday 13 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.