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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ezra Mam is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 2%, implied 1%, edge +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 8:00PM UTC
NRL

Ezra Mam

NRL

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +6600 (67.00) · $100→$6,700
+0.0% Edge
Brisbane Broncos @ Canterbury Bulldogs
Thu 3 Sep, 9:50AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 78 of 127 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.5% · the book's price implies 1.5% · gap +0.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.5%—1.5%66.60+0.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Brisbane Broncos: Ezra Mam Over 2.5 Tries (+6600)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Thursday 3 September 2026, Canterbury Bulldogs host Brisbane Broncos in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Ezra Mam Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Ezra Mam scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +6600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $670 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Ezra Mam has scored a try in each of his last 2 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ezra Mam is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ezra Mam is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Broncos vs Canterbury Bulldogs on Thursday 3 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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