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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana is Yes on Try Scorer First.
On Try Scorer First, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 30, 7:17PM UTC
NRL

Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana

NRL

Value call

Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana has one live pick today: Try Scorer First Yes that pays $12,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Try Scorer First Yes +12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
Value call
Newcastle Knights @ Sydney Roosters
Sun 4 Oct, 8:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 0.8% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Try Scorer First0.8%—0.8%—+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights: Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana First Try Scorer (+12500)

Odds available at BetRight at time of publishing

On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana First Try Scorer. This wins if Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana's lines for Sun 4 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Try Scorer First

Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana's try scorer first line is posted.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana is Yes on Try Scorer First. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters on Sunday 4 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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