Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Johnston is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 7%, implied 7%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 17, 2:48PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over
Over 2.5
+1300 (14.00) · $100→$1,400
+0.2% Edge
South Sydney Rabbitohs
@
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 7.4% · the book's price implies 7.1% · gap +0.2%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Tries Over | 7.4% | — | 7.1% | 13.53 | +0.2% |
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 02 Aug 26 |
South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks |
Tries Over |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Alex Johnston is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Johnston is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks on Sunday 2 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.
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