Alex Johnston has one live pick today: over 2.5 try scorer over that pays $1,400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
7 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 7.4% · the book's price implies 7.1% · gap +0.2%.
Latest Model PickFree
South Sydney Rabbitohs
@
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
Alex Johnston
over 2.5 try scorer over
Tries Over
Over 2.5
+1300 (14.00) · $100→$1,400
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 7 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$140.00
Odds+1300
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Johnston is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 11:06AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Tries Over | 7.4% | — | 7.1% | 13.53 | +0.2% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 02 Aug 26 |
South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks |
Tries Over |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Alex Johnston is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Johnston is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks on Sunday 2 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.
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