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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Johnston is Over 2.5 on player_try_scorer_over.
On the player_try_scorer_over market the model assigns a model win probability of 7%, versus the book's implied 7%, for a model edge of +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Jul 28, 10:43AM UTC
NRL

Alex Johnston

NRL

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
player_try_scorer_over Over 2.5 +1300 (14.00)
+0.2% Edge
South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
Sun 2 Aug, 4:00AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
7.4%
Implied Probability
7.1%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
player_try_scorer_over7.4%7.1%13.53+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Alex Johnston is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Johnston is Over 2.5 on player_try_scorer_over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks on Sunday 2 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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