Tristan Jarry (Pittsburgh Penguins) Over 21.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The model's prediction of 26.32 total saves for Tristan Jarry greatly surpasses the line set at 21.5. This is likely due to Jarry's recent performance statistics. Over his last five home games, Jarry has averaged 25.2 saves, substantially above the given line. Moreover, he's facing an average of 28 shots per game at home, indicating that he's actively engaged in the game and has ample opportunities to make saves. His hit rate in his last 11 home games is also impressive, hitting the over in 10 of those games. Although his current hit streak is at zero, his past performance indicates a strong ability to bounce back. All these factors considered, it seems statistically likely that Jarry will make more than 21.5 saves in the upcoming game.