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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mavrik Bourque is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 3 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 3%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 7, 1:24AM UTC
NHL

Mavrik Bourque

Nashville Predators

Value call

Mavrik Bourque (Nashville Predators) has one live pick today: Goals Over 1.5 that pays $5,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 +5500 (56.00) · $100→$5,600
Value call
Nashville Predators @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, FUT · Indoor
Tue 6 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
3 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.3% · the book's price implies 1.8% · gap +1.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals3.3%—1.8%30.50+1.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Nashville Predators: Mavrik Bourque Over 1.5 Goals (+5500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this bet to pay off, Mavrik Bourque needs to score at least two goals against the Nashville Predators. Both teams have struggled lately, winning only three of their last ten games, which could create a high-scoring game as they look to break out of their slumps. Playing at home, the Toronto Maple Leafs might give Bourque a chance to shine, especially with many players on the team shooting left, which could help him find the right opportunities. The risk here is that scoring two goals is a big ask for any player, especially with both teams being closely matched. But with the pressure to perform and the need for goals, there's a chance Bourque could surprise everyone tonight, making this a fun long shot to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mavrik Bourque's lines for Tue 6 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 1.5

Mavrik Bourque's goals line is 1.5.

Recent game log

Mavrik Bourque has 4 goals and 2 assists (6 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
3 Oct 26vs DAL0002018:05
1 Oct 26vs MIN0004217:25
15 Apr 26@ BUF1011117:06
13 Apr 26@ TOR3147115:56
11 Apr 26vs NYR0110019:10
9 Apr 26vs MIN0002417:00
7 Apr 26vs CGY0002119:16
4 Apr 26vs COL0002219:51
2 Apr 26vs WPG0002017:59
31 Mar 26@ BOS0000314:15
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mavrik Bourque (Nashville Predators) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mavrik Bourque is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday 6 October at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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