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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Edmonton Oilers

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 4:28AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Rogers Place, Edmonton
Indoor
Sun 22 Mar 2026, 2:00AM
3
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline -135

The model graded 4 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $174 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 22 Mar 2026, 2:00AM at Rogers Place.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.3%
The price says57.5%
Best price-135
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning High72% chance -135
Spread High76% chance —
Puck Lines High99% chance —
Shots on Goal × 1 prop Highup to 69% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
-135
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Edmonton OilersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

Edmonton Oilers

  • Matt Savoie COut
  • Mattias Janmark COut
  • Alec Regula DOut
  • Frederik Andersen GOut
  • Adam Henrique COut
Availability updated Aug 26, 8:56PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Shots on Goal

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineEdmonton Oilers +1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers — 3 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers — recent results

Edmonton Oilers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5.

Edmonton Oilers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–5ANAAway
W4–1ANAHome
L3–4ANAAway
L4–7ANAAway
L4–6ANAHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Edmonton Oilers won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateEdmonton OilersTampa Bay LightningWinner
Mar 2225Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Edmonton Oilers
PlayerStatus
Matt Savoie COUT
Mattias Janmark COUT
Alec Regula DOUT
Frederik Andersen GOUT
Adam Henrique COUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning. Includes analysis on key players like Connor McDavid. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning : Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Sunday morning's clash between the Edmonton Oilers and Tampa Bay Lightning promises to be a thrilling one. Despite the Oilers' recent struggles at home, with a 1-4 record in their last five, we've seen some glimmers of hope. Even though they've been averaging just 0.8 goals per game, they've also kept their opponents to a respectable 1 goal average. On the flip side, Tampa Bay, with their impressive 4-1 away record, certainly won't make it an easy match for the Oilers. They've been hitting the back of the net on average 2 times a game, and have shown a strong defense, allowing just 2.4 goals per game overall. However, the Oilers' resilience can't be overlooked. With a 2-3 record against Tampa Bay, they hold the capacity to upset the Lightning. Edmonton's coming into this game with a point to prove, and the added 1.5 goals in the Puck

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Oilers, or as Oilers vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Sunday 22 March 2026 at Rogers Place. The model has generated 3 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
22 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers2–5Tampa Bay Lightning
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