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Model picks & player props
Detroit Red Wings
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Mon 13 Apr 2026, 11:00PM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Detroit Red Wings 1.5 (Puck Line)
For Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL), model win probability 72.7%, fair odds 1.37, book price -167, model edge +10.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 13 Apr 2026, 11:00PM at Benchmark International Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Puck Line
Detroit Red Wings
1.5
-167
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit Red WingsPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit Red WingsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Red Wings

  • Viktor Arvidsson LWOut
  • Mason Appleton COut
  • Michael Rasmussen COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 5:09PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineDetroit Red Wings +1.5No line posted

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like John Gibson. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings stats and odds.</p>

John Gibson (Detroit Red Wings) Under 25.5 Saves (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
13 Apr 26 Puck Line Detroit Red Wings 1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 13 April 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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