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Model picks & player props
Detroit Red Wings
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:57PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Mon 13 Apr 2026, 11:00PM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Detroit Red Wings 1.5 Spread -167

The model graded 3 markets for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $160 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 13 Apr 2026, 11:00PM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.7%
The price says62.5%
Best price-167
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Detroit Red Wings 1.5 High73% chance -167
Puck Lines High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Detroit Red Wings
+1.5
-167
+ 2 more markets
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All 3 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit Red WingsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit Red WingsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Red Wings

  • Mason Appleton COut
  • Michael Rasmussen COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Mason Appleton, Michael Rasmussen and Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineDetroit Red Wings +1.5No line posted

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Detroit Red Wings have won 1 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Detroit Red Wings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–8FLAAway
L3–4TBAway
L3–5NJHome
W6–3PHIHome
L3–4CBJHome

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 2, Detroit Red Wings won 0.

DateTampa Bay LightningDetroit Red WingsWinner
Apr 1343Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 1241Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Detroit Red Wings
PlayerStatus
Mason Appleton COUT
Michael Rasmussen COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Deep dive into Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like John Gibson. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings stats and odds.

John Gibson (Detroit Red Wings) Under 25.5 Saves (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Wings vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Wings. The most recent game between them was Monday 13 April 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Apr 2026Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–3Tampa Bay Lightning
12 Mar 2026Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–1Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

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