Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zach Ertz is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 32%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:05PM UTC
NFL
Zach Ertz
WAS
Zach Ertz has one live pick today: Anytime TD Yes that pays $315 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+215 (3.15) · $100→$315
Value call
Chicago Bears
@
Washington Commanders
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
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How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 50.2% · the book's price implies 31.8% · gap +18.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 50.2% | — | 31.8% | 1.99 | +18.5% |
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Zach Ertz (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Zach Ertz's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Zach Ertz (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zach Ertz is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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