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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trey Benson is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

Trey Benson

ARI

+15.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -108 (1.93)
+15.8% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Benson (knee) faces even more competition in the Arizona backfield after the Cardinals used the No. 3 overall pick in the 2026 Draft on Jeremiyah Love on Thursday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports.
updated Apr 27, 3:21PM UTC · 84d old
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Model Probability
67.6%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+15.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.6%51.8%1.48+15.8%

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AI Analysis

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Trey Benson (ARI) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Trey Benson for Under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is a statistically sound choice, especially considering his recent performance and hit rate trends. Benson's overall hit rate for the last three games is 0/3, indicating a downward trend in his performance. While his home hit rate is slightly better at 2/3, his overall performance trend is still significant. Additionally, his overall hit rate for the last five and ten games is only 2/5 and 6/10 respectively, suggesting inconsistency in his performance. Furthermore, Benson's current overall and home hit streaks both stand at zero, reinforcing the trend of underperformance. Despite his perfect hit rate against the Seahawks (2/2 overall and 1/1 at home), the downward trend in his overall and home game performance suggests a higher likelihood of him staying under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market for the upcoming game against Seattle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards5 lines trackedNo line posted
20.5typical line · receiving yds
line range20.5–22.5tips tracked5

Trey Benson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 20.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Trey Benson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trey Benson (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trey Benson is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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