Trey Benson (ARI) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Trey Benson for under 21.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market seems statistically sound. Benson's current form does not indicate a high probability of him exceeding this mark. He has failed to hit this target in his last three overall appearances (0/3), and his recent home performances are only slightly better, hitting the mark 2 out of 3 times. His overall hit rate in the last 5 games is 2/5, which is below average.
Moreover, Benson's current hit streak for both overall and home games is zero, which further supports the under bet. In contrast, Benson's performance against the Seahawks seems more promising, hitting the mark in all of his last two appearances against them. However, given the overall and recent form of the player, betting under 21.5 appears to be the safer bet. The model edge of 0.178 also suggests that the under bet has a statistical advantage.