Trey Benson (ARI) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Trey Benson for Under 22.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is a statistically sound decision, mainly due to Benson's recent performance. First, Benson's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 11/15, slightly favoring the Under. More specifically, his home hit rate is 6/8, indicating a strong trend towards the Under when playing at home. Moreover, when facing the Seahawks, Benson's hit rate is perfect at 2/2, and at home against the Seahawks, he's also hit the Under in his sole game. Despite Benson's overall and home current hit streak being 0, his hit streak against the Seahawks is 2, again favoring the Under. The model edge of 0.178614395531893 also suggests there is value in this bet. Therefore, the accumulated data and trends point towards Benson likely finishing with fewer than 22.5 reception yards.