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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kareem Hunt is Under 18.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +12.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NFL

Kareem Hunt

KC

+12.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 18.5 -112 (1.89)
+12.0% Edge
Washington Commanders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
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Model Probability
64.9%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+12.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards64.9%52.9%1.54+12.0%

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AI Analysis

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Kareem Hunt (KC) Under 18.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Kareem Hunt going under 18.5 rushing yards is primarily driven by his recent underperformance. Over the last five games, Hunt has failed to hit this mark, as indicated by his 0/5 overall and home hit rate. This trend extends further as he's been unable to surpass this total in the last 10 games, with an overall hit rate of 0/10. Although he has been successful in the past against Washington (vs_was_hit_rate_last_5: 1/1), the sample size is too small to draw any significant conclusions. Furthermore, his overall hit rate (15/56) and home hit rate (8/28) suggest inconsistency in surpassing this rushing yards total. Lastly, his current hit streak is 0, indicating that he's been unsuccessful in recent attempts. Therefore, the statistical data strongly supports the under 18.5 bet for Kareem Hunt's rushing yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted
18.5typical line · rushing yds
line range18.5–19.5tips tracked3

Kareem Hunt's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 18.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kareem Hunt (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kareem Hunt is Under 18.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.0% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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