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The latest Bet Better model pick for JuJu Smith-Schuster is Under 14.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

JuJu Smith-Schuster

KC

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 14.5 -118 (1.85)
+2.3% Edge
Washington Commanders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
56.4%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+2.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards56.4%—54.1%1.77+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under bet on JuJu Smith-Schuster for less than 14.5 receiving yards in the Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders game is backed by strong statistical trends. Smith-Schuster has consistently underperformed in recent games, failing to hit the target in his last 10 attempts overall, including his last 5 at home. He's also never achieved this target against Washington, whether at home or away. His current hit streak is zero in all categories, indicating a prolonged period of underperformance. This pattern suggests a low likelihood of him suddenly exceeding 14.5 receiving yards in the upcoming game. Additionally, the model edge, while small, also favors the under bet. Therefore, based on the player's past performance and current trends, the under 14.5 receiving yards bet for Smith-Schuster seems a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

JuJu Smith-Schuster's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1

JuJu Smith-Schuster's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for JuJu Smith-Schuster is Under 14.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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