Josh Oliver has one live pick today: over 4.5 receiving yards that pays $166 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
20.1 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 77.4% · before adjusting for past results 77.4% · the book's price implies 60.2% · gap +17.1%.
Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers
@
Minnesota Vikings
Josh Oliver
over 4.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 4.5
-152 (1.66) · $100→$166
Value call
HIGHWins about 77 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$16.60
Odds-152
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Oliver is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 77%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:26PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$20,973 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 77.4% | 77.4% | 60.2% | 1.66 | +17.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Josh Oliver (MIN) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate (-152)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Josh Oliver (MIN) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards10 lines trackedNo line posted 6.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over70%tips tracked10
Josh Oliver's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 10 times, typically around a 6.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
4.5 |
Over |
-152 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings |
Receiving Yards |
6.5 |
Over |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
14.5 |
Over |
+224 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Josh Oliver (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Oliver is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings on Sunday 13 September at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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