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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andre Baccellia is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 20%, versus the book's implied 5%, for a model edge of +15.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NFL

Andre Baccellia

ARI

+15.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +1800 (19.00)
+15.1% Edge
Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 7 Sep, 5:00PM
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
20.3%
Implied Probability
5.3%
Model Edge
+15.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer20.3%—5.3%4.92+15.1%

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AI Analysis

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Andre Baccellia (ARI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1800)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided data, it is challenging to make a compelling argument in support of betting on Andre Baccellia to score a touchdown at any time in the upcoming game between the New Orleans Saints and the Arizona Cardinals. Baccellia hasn't found the end zone in any of his recent games, with his hit rate standing at zero for his last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games overall and away. His overall and away performance data does not suggest that a positive outcome is likely for this bet. His current hit streak, both overall and away, is also zero, further underscoring his recent lack of scoring. While the model edge is 0.150542416070637, considering Baccellia's continued non-scoring trend, it might be a risky bet to place.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2025 · 2 lines trackedNo line posted
20%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Andre Baccellia's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times through the 2025 season, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 20%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Andre Baccellia (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andre Baccellia is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.1% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 7 September at Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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