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NCAAF

Sutton Smith

Arkansas

Value call

Sutton Smith (Arkansas) has one live pick today: over 25.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
30.8 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.1% · before adjusting for past results 62.8% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -6.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Vanderbilt Commodores
Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Sutton Smith
over 25.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 25.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sutton Smith is Over 25.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 3:55AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 257 of 443 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards62.8%47.1%53.2%2.00+12.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Sutton Smith Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Vanderbilt Commodores host Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Sutton Smith Over 25.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Sutton Smith finishes with more than 25.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Sutton Smith's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 25.5
-110 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Sutton Smith's rushing yards line is 25.5, best over price -110 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 27.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Sutton Smith's rushing yards line is 27.5, best over price -114 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 29.5
-105 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Sutton Smith's rushing yards line is 29.5, best over price -105 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks Rushing Yards 25.5 Over -116 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks Rushing Yards 27.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Arkansas Razorbacks Rushing Yards 39.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Arkansas Razorbacks Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sutton Smith (Arkansas) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sutton Smith is Over 25.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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