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NCAAF

Sam Leavitt

LSU

Value call

Sam Leavitt has one live pick today: under 21.5 completed passes that pays $171 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
17.6 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.6% · before adjusting for past results 96.4% · the book's price implies 58.5% · gap -6.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ LSU Tigers
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Sam Leavitt
under 21.5 completed passes
Completions Under 21.5 -141 (1.71) · $100→$171
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.09 Odds-141
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Leavitt is Under 21.5 on Completions.
On Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 1:15AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 800 of 1,476 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Completions96.4%51.6%58.5%1.91+44.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: Sam Leavitt Under 21.5 Completions (-141)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, LSU Tigers host Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Sam Leavitt Under 21.5 Completions. This wins if Sam Leavitt finishes with fewer than 21.5 completed passes. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 LSU Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats Passing TDs 1.5 Over +126 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 LSU Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels Rushing Yards 34.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 LSU Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels Rushing Yards 35.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 LSU Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats Rush Attempts — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 LSU Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats Completions — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 LSU Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats Completions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Leavitt (LSU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Leavitt is Under 21.5 on Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +44.2% on this pick. Their next game is Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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