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NCAAF

Rodney Nelson

Miami (OH)

Value call

Rodney Nelson (Miami (OH)) has one live pick today: over 53.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
56.2 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.1% · before adjusting for past results 52.6% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bulls @ Miami (OH) RedHawks
Tue 3 Nov, 8:00 PM ET
Rodney Nelson
over 53.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 53.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rodney Nelson is Over 53.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 3, 6:52PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 378 of 671 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards52.6%51.1%53.2%2.00+2.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Buffalo Bulls: Rodney Nelson Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Wednesday 4 November 2026, Miami (OH) RedHawks host Buffalo Bulls in college football. The bet we are looking at is Rodney Nelson Over 53.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Rodney Nelson finishes with more than 53.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Rodney Nelson's lines for Wed 4 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 53.5

Rodney Nelson's rushing yards line is 53.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rodney Nelson (Miami (OH)) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rodney Nelson is Over 53.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bulls vs Miami (OH) RedHawks on Tuesday 3 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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