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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Matthews is Under 59.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 22, 2:39PM UTC
NCAAF

Mike Matthews

Tennessee

Value call

Mike Matthews (Tennessee) has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Under 59.5 that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 59.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
Texas Longhorns @ Tennessee Volunteers
Sat 26 Sep, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player pass yds overs: 74 of 109 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
59.0 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.2% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +1.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards51.2%—52.9%2.01+1.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns: Mike Matthews Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 26 September 2026, Tennessee Volunteers host Texas Longhorns in college football. The bet we are looking at is Mike Matthews Under 59.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Mike Matthews finishes with fewer than 59.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mike Matthews's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 59.5
-112 best over price · 3 books

Mike Matthews's receiving yards line is 59.5, best over price -112 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards 52.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Mike Matthews's receiving yards line is 52.5, best over price -114 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mike Matthews (Tennessee) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Matthews is Under 59.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday 26 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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