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NCAAF

Mike Matthews

Tennessee

Value call

Mike Matthews (Tennessee) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $209 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
7.5 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 44.5% · before adjusting for past results 96.9% · the book's price implies 47.8% · gap -3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks
Sat 24 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Mike Matthews
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 +109 (2.09) · $100→$209
Value call
LEANWins about 44 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.90 Odds+109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Matthews is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 44%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 7, 4:23AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions96.9%44.5%47.8%2.25+51.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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South Carolina Gamecocks vs Tennessee Volunteers: Mike Matthews Over 4.5 Receptions (+109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, South Carolina Gamecocks host Tennessee Volunteers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Mike Matthews Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Mike Matthews finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks Receptions 4.5 Over +109 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers Receiving Yards 54.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers Receiving Yards 55.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mike Matthews (Tennessee) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Matthews is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +51.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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