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NCAAF

Katin Houser

Illinois

Value call

Katin Houser (Illinois) has one live pick today: under 6.5 rushing attempts that pays $205 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
3.8 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.8% · before adjusting for past results 86.1% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap +5.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans
Sat 10 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Katin Houser
under 6.5 rushing attempts
Rush Attempts Under 6.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50 Odds+105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Katin Houser is Under 6.5 on Rush Attempts.
On Rush Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 1:19PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 963 of 1,780 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush Attempts86.1%53.8%48.8%2.27+42.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Michigan State Spartans vs Illinois Fighting Illini: Katin Houser Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans host Illinois Fighting Illini in college football. The bet we are looking at is Katin Houser Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts. This wins if Katin Houser finishes with fewer than 6.5 rushing attempts. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
Overall Hit Rate (32 picks) 59.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rush Attempts 6.5 Under +105 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rush Attempts 7.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rushing Yards 9.5 Over -116 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Katin Houser (Illinois) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 59.4% on tracked Katin Houser picks. The latest model pick for Katin Houser is Under 6.5 on Rush Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +42.1% on this pick. Their next game is Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans on Saturday 10 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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