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NCAAF

Jeffrey Overton Jr.

Virginia Tech

Value call

Jeffrey Overton Jr. (Virginia Tech) has one live pick today: under 68.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
0.1 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.3% · before adjusting for past results 94.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +1.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs
Fri 6 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Jeffrey Overton Jr.
under 68.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 68.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeffrey Overton Jr. is Under 68.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 6, 3:53PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards94.9%54.3%53.2%2.00+44.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Tech Hokies: Jeffrey Overton Jr. Under 68.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, SMU Mustangs host Virginia Tech Hokies in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jeffrey Overton Jr. Under 68.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Jeffrey Overton Jr. finishes with fewer than 68.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 63.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s lines for Sat 7 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 68.5
-114 best over price · 4 books

Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s rushing yards line is 68.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.

Rushing Yards 66.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s rushing yards line is 66.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards 16.5
-115 best over price · 3 books

Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s receiving yards line is 16.5, best over price -115 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards 19.5
+100 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s receiving yards line is 19.5, best over price +100 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ Clemson Tigers Rushing Yards 68.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ Clemson Tigers Rushing Yards 65.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies Rushing Yards 83.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
17 Oct 26 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies Rush Attempts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jeffrey Overton Jr. (Virginia Tech) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 63.3% on tracked Jeffrey Overton Jr. picks. The latest model pick for Jeffrey Overton Jr. is Under 68.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +44.9% on this pick. Their next game is Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs on Friday 6 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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