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NCAAF

Jayvontay Conner

Vanderbilt

Value call

Jayvontay Conner (Vanderbilt) has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
3.4 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.9% · before adjusting for past results 71.9% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap +5.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Vanderbilt Commodores
Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Jayvontay Conner
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jayvontay Conner is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 2:46AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 800 of 1,476 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions71.9%48.9%43.5%2.46+31.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Jayvontay Conner Over 2.5 Receptions (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Vanderbilt Commodores host Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jayvontay Conner Over 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Jayvontay Conner finishes with more than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Vanderbilt Commodores Receiving Yards 43.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Vanderbilt Commodores Receiving Yards 42.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Vanderbilt Commodores Receiving Yards 36.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Auburn Tigers Receptions — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Auburn Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Auburn Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jayvontay Conner (Vanderbilt) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jayvontay Conner is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +31.4% on this pick. Their next game is Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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