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NCAAF

Davis Warren

Stanford

Value call

Davis Warren (Stanford) has one live pick today: under 20.5 completed passes that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
15.5 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.6% · before adjusting for past results 98.9% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap -5.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal
Fri 23 Oct, 10:30 PM ET
Davis Warren
under 20.5 completed passes
Completions Under 20.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.52 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Davis Warren is Under 20.5 on Completions.
On Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 28, 9:37AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Completions98.9%45.6%51.3%2.15+52.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/6

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AI Analysis

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Stanford Cardinal vs NC State Wolfpack: Davis Warren Under 20.5 Completions (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Stanford Cardinal host NC State Wolfpack in college football. The bet we are looking at is Davis Warren Under 20.5 Completions. This wins if Davis Warren finishes with fewer than 20.5 completed passes. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.52 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (29 picks) 55.2% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Completions 20.5 Under -105 ✗ MISS
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing TDs 1.5 Over +170 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing Yards 250.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing Yards — — — Pending
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing Yards — — — Pending
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Davis Warren (Stanford) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 55.2% on tracked Davis Warren picks. The latest model pick for Davis Warren is Under 20.5 on Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +52.5% on this pick. Their next game is NC State Wolfpack vs Stanford Cardinal on Friday 23 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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