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NCAAF

CJ Bailey

NC State

Value call

CJ Bailey (NC State) has one live pick today: over 16.5 rushing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
30.4 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.0% · before adjusting for past results 63.0% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -1.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Duke Blue Devils @ NC State Wolfpack
Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 PM ET
CJ Bailey
over 16.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 16.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for CJ Bailey is Over 16.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 1:45AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 391 of 696 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards63.0%51.0%52.9%2.00+13.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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NC State Wolfpack vs Duke Blue Devils: CJ Bailey Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, NC State Wolfpack host Duke Blue Devils in college football. The bet we are looking at is CJ Bailey Over 16.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if CJ Bailey finishes with more than 16.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ NC State Wolfpack Passing Yards 262.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
31 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ NC State Wolfpack Passing Yards 252.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing TDs 2.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
31 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ NC State Wolfpack Passing TDs — — — Pending
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing TDs — — — Pending
23 Oct 26 NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

CJ Bailey (NC State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for CJ Bailey is Over 16.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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