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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rui Hachimura is Under 19.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
NBA

Rui Hachimura

Los Angeles Lakers

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 19.5 -102 (1.98)
+20.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.3%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+20.8%
Predicted Value
15.6 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs71.3%—50.5%1.40+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Rui Hachimura (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers head into the Warriors' territory, all eyes will be on Rui Hachimura, but we're leaning toward the Under on his combined points and rebounds at 19.5. Looking at his recent performances, he's averaged just 13.6 points and 4 rebounds over his last five games, which doesn't quite stack up against this line. When he's hit the road, those numbers dip even further, with only 8.4 points and 2.6 rebounds per game. Against the Warriors, his track record isn't much better; he averages 12.4 points and 3.8 rebounds as a visitor. Plus, his away hit rate is impressive at 10 of 11 games going under this total. With the Warriors' defensive prowess and Hachimura's current form, it seems like a safe bet that he won't breach the 19.5 mark tonight. Let's ride the Under on this one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.5avg · last 10
L53.0Szn1.8Home1.6Away2.1Best7
1+78%
2+55%
3+33%
4+13%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.5 · hi 5 · lo 0
1323130255

Rui Hachimura is averaging 2.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.8, best 7). He clears 2+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.2avg · last 10
L51.0Szn1.4Home1.4Away1.4Best6
1+77%
3+17%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
0312120210

Rui Hachimura is averaging 1.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.4, best 6). He clears 1+ in 77% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
14.7avg · last 10
L514.8Szn13.3Home13.2Away13.3Best36
3+100%
8+84%
13+50%
18+30%
23+9%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 14.7 · hi 24 · lo 7
72411151691182323

Rui Hachimura is averaging 14.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.3, best 36). He clears 13+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
19.2avg · last 10
L519.4Szn18.2Home18.4Away18.0Best42
8+97%
13+78%
18+48%
23+27%
28+9%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 19.2 · hi 30 · lo 9
9301817211416122827

Rui Hachimura is averaging 19.2 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.2, best 42). He clears 18+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.5avg · last 10
L54.6Szn5.0Home5.2Away4.7Best14
1+98%
3+84%
5+56%
7+25%
9+9%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.5 · hi 7 · lo 2
2672555454

Rui Hachimura is averaging 4.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.0, best 14). He clears 5+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs 19.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs 20.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Points — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Rui Hachimura (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rui Hachimura is Under 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors on Friday 10 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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