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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rui Hachimura is Under 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 51%, edge +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 9:47PM UTC
NBA

Rui Hachimura

Los Angeles Lakers

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 19.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+20.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
15.6 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.3% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +20.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs71.3%—50.5%1.40+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Rui Hachimura (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers head into the Warriors' territory, all eyes will be on Rui Hachimura, but we're leaning toward the Under on his combined points and rebounds at 19.5. Looking at his recent performances, he's averaged just 13.6 points and 4 rebounds over his last five games, which doesn't quite stack up against this line. When he's hit the road, those numbers dip even further, with only 8.4 points and 2.6 rebounds per game. Against the Warriors, his track record isn't much better; he averages 12.4 points and 3.8 rebounds as a visitor. Plus, his away hit rate is impressive at 10 of 11 games going under this total. With the Warriors' defensive prowess and Hachimura's current form, it seems like a safe bet that he won't breach the 19.5 mark tonight. Let's ride the Under on this one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Rui Hachimura — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Rui Hachimura averaged 13.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists in 32.0 minutes per game, shooting 50.7% from the field and 42.1% from three-point range.

13.3
PPG
5.0
RPG
1.4
APG
0.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
32.0
MPG
50.7%
FG%
42.1%
3P%

Rui Hachimura — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Rui Hachimura has played 36.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.4
MPG (L5)
14.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Rui Hachimura — points hit rate

Rui Hachimura has scored over 12.5 points in 46% of 145 career games.

o11.554%
o12.546%
o15.532%
o20.511%

Rui Hachimura — home vs away scoring

At home Rui Hachimura averages 13.2 points per game; on the road, 13.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.2
PPG at home
13.3
PPG on the road

Rui Hachimura — scoring by opponent

Rui Hachimura scores most against the CHA, averaging 16.4 points per game in that matchup.

16.4
CHA
15.9
MIL
15.2
SAC
15.1
UTAH
14.9
HOU
14.7
LAC

Rui Hachimura — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Rui Hachimura has averaged 14.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Aprvs MIN392340
27 Apr@ MIN412351
25 Apr@ MIN38842
22 Aprvs MIN341150
19 Aprvs MIN30952
11 Aprvs HOU321651
9 Apr@ DAL381522
6 Apr@ OKC321171
3 Aprvs GS342463
31 Marvs HOU31720
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rui Hachimura (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rui Hachimura is Under 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors on Friday 10 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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