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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyle Anderson is Under 11.5 on Points + Assists.
On the Points + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +13.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:52AM UTC
NBA

Kyle Anderson

Miami Heat

+13.2% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 11.5 -133 (1.75) · $100→$175
+13.2% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+13.2%
Predicted Value
8.0 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts70.4%57.1%1.42+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Kyle Anderson (Miami Heat) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Jazz, Kyle Anderson's recent performances suggest a cautious approach. Averaging just 3.4 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, he's been well below the 11.5 mark we're targeting for this prop bet. Digging deeper, his numbers against the Jazz are particularly telling; he's netted only 3 points and 1 assist per game in their recent matchups. With the Jazz's defense tightening up, it's no wonder Anderson has only crossed the threshold of 11.5 points plus assists in three of his last 10 games. The trend is clear: his role has diminished, and the odds are stacked against him. Given these insights, placing a bet on the under feels not just prudent, but almost inevitable. Keep an eye on this one-it's hard to see Anderson breaking out in a game that favors defensive schemes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kyle Anderson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Kyle Anderson averaged 5.6 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 16.2 minutes per game, shooting 46.5% from the field and 36.6% from three-point range.

5.6
PPG
3.2
RPG
2.4
APG
0.6
SPG
0.6
BPG
16.2
MPG
46.5%
FG%
36.6%
3P%

Kyle Anderson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kyle Anderson has played 15.4 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

15.4
MPG (L5)
2.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Kyle Anderson — home vs away scoring

At home Kyle Anderson averages 4.6 points per game; on the road, 6.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

4.6
PPG at home
6.4
PPG on the road

Kyle Anderson — scoring by opponent

Kyle Anderson scores most against the BKN, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
BKN
10.5
BOS
10.1
TOR
9.8
MEM
9.3
DET
8.9
CHA

Kyle Anderson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kyle Anderson has averaged 5.2 points, 4.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE8000
20 Apr@ CLE6011
18 Apr@ ATL12512
16 Apr@ CHI23025
13 Aprvs WSH28664
11 Apr@ NO23946
9 Apr@ CHI22621
7 Aprvs PHI25886
5 Aprvs MIL3212143
3 Aprvs MEM20622
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kyle Anderson (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Kyle Anderson is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Kyle Anderson is Under 11.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday 19 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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