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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Khris Middleton is Over 5.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 77%, for a model edge of +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:18PM UTC
NBA

Khris Middleton

Washington Wizards

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 5.5 -333 (1.30)
+5.6% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Fri 13 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
82.5%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value
11.0 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points82.5%76.9%1.21+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) Over 5.5 Points (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Khris Middleton has been a scoring machine lately, and with a line set at just 5.5 points, it feels like a steal. Over his last five games, he's averaged nearly 9.4 points, and when facing the Cavaliers, that number jumps to a striking 16. What's more, he's hit the over in 14 of his last 15 games, showcasing a remarkable consistency that's hard to overlook. The matchup against the Mavericks also plays in his favor; they've allowed an average of 16 points to opposing players in similar spots. With Middleton's performance on the road, where he's tallying around 10 points per game, it's clear he's stepping up when it matters. Given his recent form and the favorable matchup, betting on him to score over 5.5 points feels like a smart play. Don't miss out on an opportunity to capitalize on this trend!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.0avg · last 10
L51.2Szn1.3Home1.3Away1.3Best7
1+73%
2+30%
3+19%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
1110120301

Khris Middleton is averaging 1.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.3, best 7). He clears 1+ in 73% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.0avg · last 10
L52.2Szn4.1Home4.5Away3.6Best12
2+86%
4+59%
6+24%
8+11%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3 · hi 8 · lo 0
3620840052

Khris Middleton is averaging 3.0 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.1, best 12). He clears 4+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.6avg · last 10
L58.0Szn11.9Home10.8Away12.9Best51
2+92%
7+84%
12+54%
17+22%
22+3%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 10.6 · hi 16 · lo 4
161412816104998

Khris Middleton is averaging 10.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.9, best 51). He clears 12+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.1avg · last 10
L510.6Szn15.6Home14.6Away16.5Best61
6+92%
11+78%
16+49%
21+27%
26+8%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 14.1 · hi 23 · lo 7
192015112314712119

Khris Middleton is averaging 14.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.6, best 61). He clears 16+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.1avg · last 10
L512.8Szn19.6Home19.1Away20.2Best67
10+92%
15+76%
20+46%
25+32%
30+14%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 17.1 · hi 31 · lo 7
2226171131187121611

Khris Middleton is averaging 17.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.6, best 67). He clears 20+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.5avg · last 10
L54.8Szn7.8Home8.3Away7.2Best22
2+100%
5+86%
8+51%
11+19%
14+5%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 6.5 · hi 15 · lo 3
612531583373

Khris Middleton is averaging 6.5 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.8, best 22). He clears 8+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks 3-Pointers 1.5 Over +210 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Assists 3.5 Under -154 ✗ MISS
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Rebs + Asts 7.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers 3-Pointers Pending
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Rebs + Asts Pending
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Khris Middleton is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks on Friday 13 March at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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