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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Khris Middleton is Over 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 77%, edge +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:33PM UTC
NBA

Khris Middleton

Washington Wizards

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 5.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+5.6% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Fri 13 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
11.0 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.5% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +5.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points82.5%76.9%1.21+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) Over 5.5 Points (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Khris Middleton has been a scoring machine lately, and with a line set at just 5.5 points, it feels like a steal. Over his last five games, he's averaged nearly 9.4 points, and when facing the Cavaliers, that number jumps to a striking 16. What's more, he's hit the over in 14 of his last 15 games, showcasing a remarkable consistency that's hard to overlook. The matchup against the Mavericks also plays in his favor; they've allowed an average of 16 points to opposing players in similar spots. With Middleton's performance on the road, where he's tallying around 10 points per game, it's clear he's stepping up when it matters. Given his recent form and the favorable matchup, betting on him to score over 5.5 points feels like a smart play. Don't miss out on an opportunity to capitalize on this trend!

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Pick History & Track Record

Khris Middleton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 37 games in the 2024-25 season, Khris Middleton averaged 11.9 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.1 assists in 22.9 minutes per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 36.1% from three-point range.

11.9
PPG
3.7
RPG
4.1
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
22.9
MPG
47.5%
FG%
36.1%
3P%

Khris Middleton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Khris Middleton has played 18.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

18.0
MPG (L5)
8.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Khris Middleton — points hit rate

Khris Middleton has scored over 15.5 points in 57% of 749 career games.

o11.575%
o12.572%
o15.557%
o20.532%
o25.513%

Khris Middleton — home vs away scoring

At home Khris Middleton averages 10.8 points per game; on the road, 12.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.8
PPG at home
12.9
PPG on the road

Khris Middleton — scoring by opponent

Khris Middleton scores most against the SAC, averaging 24.7 points per game in that matchup.

24.7
SAC
22.6
WSH
22.2
PHX
21.1
GS
20.5
MIA
20.3
ATL

Khris Middleton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Khris Middleton has averaged 10.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
27 Marvs IND14812
24 Marvs TOR22925
21 Marvs ORL23930
17 Mar@ POR11430
15 Mar@ DEN201044
13 Mar@ DET271678
11 Mar@ DET23830
8 Mar@ TOR241232
5 Marvs UTAH261466
3 Mar@ MIA231633
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks 3-Pointers 1.5 Over +210 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 13.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Rebs + Asts Pending
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Assists Pending
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers 3-Pointers Pending
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Khris Middleton is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks on Friday 13 March at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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