On Saturday 29 August 2026, Namsrai Batbayar takes on Andre Lima in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Andre Lima -3.5 on the Line, priced at -175 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Andre Lima -3.5 on the Line (-175)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

This fight between Namsrai Batbayar and Andre Lima promises to be a close one. Both fighters bring unique skills to the cage, but Lima's experience and striking ability give him an advantage. He's been in tougher fights lately, which helps him handle pressure better. Plus, he has a slight reach advantage, which can make a difference in striking range. We think Lima has a solid shot at winning by at least four points. The biggest risk is that Batbayar could surprise him if he can take control early. Still, Lima's overall skill set and the way he has been performing recently make this a bet worth considering. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Denise Gomes: last five W-W-W-W-L, on a 4-fight win streak, 20% of career wins came by knockout, 292 days since the last fight
  • Jack Jenkins: last five W-L-W-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 334 days since the last fight
  • Jingnan Xiong: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 89 days since the last fight
  • Julia Polastri: last five L-W-L-W-L, dropped the last 1, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 124 days since the last fight
  • Kevin Borjas: last five W-L-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 68 days since the last fight
  • Levi Rodrigues Jr.: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 40 days since the last fight
  • Rei Tsuruya: last five W-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 89 days since the last fight
  • Sean Woodson: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 19% of career wins came by knockout, 502 days since the last fight
  • Song Yadong: last five W-L-W-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 15% of career wins came by knockout, 89 days since the last fight
  • Umar Nurmagomedov: last five W-W-L-W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 215 days since the last fight
  • Yan Xiaonan: last five L-W-L-W-W, dropped the last 1, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 502 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Namsrai Batbayar v Andre Lima. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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