On Sunday 20 September 2026, Gable Steveson takes on Sean Sharaf in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Sean Sharaf to Win, priced at +850 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sean Sharaf to Win (+850)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

Gable Steveson is younger and has a strong wrestling background, which can be tough for any opponent. However, Sean Sharaf has the chance to surprise everyone with his striking skills. His ability to keep the fight standing and land clean shots makes him a dangerous underdog in this matchup. The odds are in Sharaf's favor as a long shot, but the risk is that Steveson could use his wrestling to control the fight. Still, at +850 odds, it could be worth taking a chance on Sharaf pulling off an upset. There's always excitement in a fight, especially when one fighter is looking to make a statement. It was priced at +850 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $95 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Gable Steveson: last five W, won the last fight, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 62 days since the last fight
  • Sean Sharaf: last five L-L, dropped the last 2, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 271 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Gable Steveson v Sean Sharaf. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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