Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne Prediction & Picks: Full Match Breakdown & Bets

On Sunday 20 September 2026, Tai Tuivasa takes on Robelis Despaigne in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Robelis Despaigne to Win, priced at -435 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Robelis Despaigne to Win (-435)

Robelis Despaigne has been on a great run lately, showing off his strong striking skills and finishing ability. He has a clear advantage in this matchup against Tai Tuivasa, who tends to struggle against fighters with Robelis's style. With our numbers rating him as a strong favorite, it feels like a good pick to win the fight. One thing to keep in mind is that both fighters are around the same age, which means they might be more evenly matched in terms of physical condition. Still, Robelis's recent performances suggest he has what it takes to come out on top here. It was priced at -435 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Tai Tuivasa: last five L-L-L-L-L, dropped the last 7, 28% of career wins came by knockout, 141 days since the last fight
• Robelis Despaigne: last five L-L-W, dropped the last 2, 14% of career wins came by knockout, 701 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Tai Tuivasa v Robelis Despaigne. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.