On Sunday 20 September 2026, Alexandre Pantoja takes on Joshua Van in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Alexandre Pantoja to Win, priced at +106 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alexandre Pantoja to Win (+106)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Alexandre Pantoja is a tough fighter known for his ability to finish fights, while Joshua Van has a solid skill set but may struggle against Pantoja's aggressive style. Pantoja's experience could give him an advantage, especially since he knows how to handle pressure well. While both fighters have their strengths, the real risk here is how evenly matched they are. It's hard to predict who will come out on top, but I think Pantoja has what it takes to win this fight. The odds of +106 mean you're getting a good deal for his chances. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Alexandre Pantoja: last five L-W-W-W-W, lost the last fight, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 279 days since the last fight
  • Joshua Van: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 7-fight win streak, 21% of career wins came by knockout, 125 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Alexandre Pantoja v Joshua Van. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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