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MLB

Justin Verlander

SFG

+2.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1000 (1.10)
+2.4% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta
Wed 23 Jul, 4:15PM
Model Probability
93.3%
Implied Probability
90.9%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Justin Verlander (SFG) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Justin Verlander for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is supported by his recent performance data. His last five games show a consistent trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits, both overall and when playing away. On average, Verlander has allowed 5.2 hits overall and 5.4 hits when playing away. His performance against the Braves specifically also supports this bet, with an average of 7 hits allowed in their last five matchups. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages, which are lower when playing away and against the Braves, suggest he's more likely to allow hits in these scenarios. Despite his current hit streak being zero, the consistent trend in his performance indicates a high probability of allowing over 2.5 hits.

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Pick History & Track Record

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