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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Quintana is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 81%, for a model edge of +8.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
MLB

Jose Quintana

MIL

+8.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -417 (1.24)
+8.2% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Tue 9 Sep, 12:05AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.9%
Implied Probability
80.6%
Model Edge
+8.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts88.9%—80.6%1.13+8.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-417)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Quintana to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is backed by his recent performance data, particularly his strikeout averages. In his last five games, Quintana has averaged 4.4 strikeouts overall and 4.8 when playing away. This is well above the 2.5 line set for this bet. Moreover, when facing the Texas Rangers, his strikeout average increases to 5. Quintana's innings pitched also support this bet, averaging around 6 innings per game, offering ample opportunity for strikeouts. Furthermore, Quintana is on a positive streak with two overall successful hits and one while playing away. These consistent performances and his ability to surpass the 2.5 line in various contexts make this bet a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak2L2080%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%
O 5.530%

Jose Quintana MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak4L2090%
O 2.590%
O 3.570%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%

Jose Quintana MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak2L2090%
O 0.580%
O 1.580%
O 2.540%
O 4.510%

Jose Quintana MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg earned runs · L5

Jose Quintana MLB earned runs: averaging 0.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
18avg outs · L5
L2055%

Jose Quintana MLB outs: cleared over 17.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 18 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Quintana (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Quintana is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers on Tuesday 9 September at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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