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MLB

Hayden Birdsong

SFG

+4.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -667 (1.15)
+4.0% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta
Mon 21 Jul, 11:15PM
Model Probability
90.9%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+4.0%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Hayden Birdsong (SFG) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Hayden Birdsong for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. His L5 (last five games) overall and away SO (strikeouts) averages are 2.2 and 2.8 respectively, both of which are close to the line of 2.5. However, his performance significantly improves against the Braves, with an average of 5 strikeouts per game, almost double the bet line. His innings pitched (IP) and outs average also increase when playing against this opponent and away from home, indicating his ability to play longer and maintain his performance. Despite a current away hit streak of zero, his overall hit streak is positive, suggesting a potential for improvement in this game. Therefore, based on Birdsong's strong performance against this specific opponent and his close-to-line overall averages, this bet is a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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