SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320)
MODELS ONLINE / DATA PROVIDER · NOT A BOOKMAKER / EVERY PICK TIMESTAMPED & GRADED / 12 LEAGUES MODELLED
Bet Better BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
Model picks & player props
Seattle Mariners
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 12, 7:10AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Sun 12 Jul 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game Picks
2
Player Props
100.0%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
Model lean: Tampa Bay Rays -2.5 (Spread)
For Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB), model win probability 39.8%, fair odds 2.51, book price +265, model edge +12.4%, this matchup's picks have hit 100.0% across 2 settled results, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 12 Jul 2026, 5:40PM at Tropicana Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Rays
-2.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Tampa Bay Rays on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Tampa Bay Rays
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Betfair Ex Au
on Seattle Mariners
Shop gain & value% 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Julio Rodriguez CFOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Cooper Criswell RPOut
  • Rob Refsnyder DHOut
  • Carlos Vargas RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Gilbert SP

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Steven Wilson RPOut
  • Jesse Scholtens RPOut
  • Steven Matz SPOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Griffin Jax SP
Availability updated Jul 11, 8:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jonathan Aranda TBR Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Naylor CLE Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

Unlock every player prop for this game

Get the player, the line, the pick and the edge on every graded prop in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 2 of last 2 settled picks for this matchup.
2
Total Picks
100.0%
Hit Rate
DateMarketPickResult
10 Jul 26 Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 12 July 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Historically across 2 settled picks between these two teams, the model has recorded a hit rate of 100.0%. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.