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Model picks & player props
Napoli
VS
Genoa

Napoli vs Genoa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 29, 11:31AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 6:45PM
15
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Genoa 3.5 (Spread)
For Napoli vs Genoa (Soccer), model win probability 96.7%, fair odds 1.03, book price -5000, model edge +4.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 22 Aug 2026, 6:45PM at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Genoa
+1.5
-345
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
GenoaSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NapoliSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NapoliSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NapoliSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Napoli

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Genoa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Napoli vs Genoa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineNapoli @ GenoaNo line posted
1-3-4H2H (last 8)
Home form6-6-8Away form12-7-1
H2H home wins1 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Genoa have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 4.

Both Teams to ScoreNapoli @ GenoaNo line posted
6 / 8H2H both scored
Genoa50%Napoli60%
H2H both scored6 / 8 BTTS

Both teams scored in 50% of Genoa's and 60% of Napoli's recent matches.

Total GoalsNapoli @ GenoaUnder +7.5 -5000+1.2% edge
98%model over %
7 / 8H2H over 2.5
Home ov2.535%Away ov2.550%H2H avg3.5
H2H over 2.57 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.5 goals, over 2.5 in 7 of them; the model prices Under at 98% here.

SpreadNapoli @ GenoaGenoa +1.5 -345+2.1% edge
74%model cover %
1-3-4H2H (last 8)
Home margin-0.1Away margin+0.9

Genoa on the +1.5 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 74%.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Napoli vs Genoa in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 22 August 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The model has generated 15 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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