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Model picks & player props
Lyon
VS
Toulouse

Lyon vs Toulouse Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 22, 2:01PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 6:45PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toulouse Draw No Bet +164

The model graded 20 markets for Lyon vs Toulouse (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $264 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 22 Aug 2026, 6:45PM at Stadium de Toulouse.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win41.2%
The price says36.1%
Best price+164
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Toulouse Lean41% chance +164
Spread High67% chance —
Spread Lean59% chance —
Spread Lean41% chance —
Spread High82% chance —
Spread Lean50% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot35% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot35% chance —
Both Teams to Score High63% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 28 of 91 right (soccer head to head calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 20
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Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Toulouse
+164
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
ToulouseDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LyonSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LyonSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Cards TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LyonSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Lyon on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Lyon
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Olympique Lyonnais

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Toulouse FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Lyon vs Toulouse: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLyon @ ToulouseNo line posted
0-2-6past meetings (last 8)
Draw23%Home form5-6-9Away form10-2-8
past meetings, home wins0 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Toulouse have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 6.

Both Teams to ScoreLyon @ ToulouseNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Toulouse65%Lyon70%
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Toulouse's and 70% of Lyon's recent matches.

Total GoalsLyon @ ToulouseNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.555%Away ov2.575%past meetings avg3.0
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them.

Lyon @ Toulouse — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Lyon at Toulouse — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Lyon @ Toulouse — where the money went

Since betting opened on Lyon at Toulouse, the market has moved away from Lyon across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Lyon▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Toulouse▲ Money came for this
Spread — Lyon 0▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Toulouse 0▲ Money came for this
Spread — Lyon -0.25▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Toulouse 0.25▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 2.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Lyon vs Toulouse in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Saturday 22 August 2026 at Stadium de Toulouse. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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