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Model picks & player props
Chicago White Sox
VS
New York Yankees

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:19PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 18 Jun 2026, 11:05PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: New York Yankees -4.5 (Spread)
The model graded 20 markets for Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $520 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 35.7%, fair odds 2.80, book price +420, model edge +16.5%. Tip-off Thu 18 Jun 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Yankees
+3
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Chase Meidroth 2BDay-to-day
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

New York Yankees

  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
Availability updated Aug 9, 4:46PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Chicago White Sox L55-0

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Chicago White Sox L55-0

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.2runs we expect
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Chicago White Sox L55-0

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3CLEHome
W6–3CLEHome
L2–8CLEHome
L11–12BOSAway
L0–4BOSAway

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: New York Yankees won 4, Chicago White Sox won 3.

DateNew York YankeesChicago White SoxWinner
Jul 3012Chicago White Sox
Jul 2956Chicago White Sox
Jul 2832New York Yankees
Jul 2795New York Yankees
Jun 1815Chicago White Sox
Jun 17105New York Yankees
Jun 16122New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Chase Meidroth 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for New York Yankees playing Chicago White Sox. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox : New York Yankees +2 (-370)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +3 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 9 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -4.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Thursday 18 June 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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