Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Houston Astros

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:18PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Thu 4 Sep 2025, 11:40PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: New York Yankees (Moneyline)
The model graded 2 markets for New York Yankees vs Houston Astros (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $173 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 66.5%, fair odds 1.50, book price -137, model edge +8.7%. Tip-off Thu 4 Sep 2025, 11:40PM at Minute Maid Park.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New York Yankees
+ 1 more market
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Hayden Wesneski SP
Availability updated Aug 11, 1:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L52-3Free board12-8

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L52-3Free board14-9

Houston Astros spread form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L52-3

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for New York Yankees at Houston Astros — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7SDAway
W6–3SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W7–2TORHome
L4–5TORHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Houston Astros — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Houston Astros vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees Win (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The New York Yankees are a solid choice for the Moneyline market despite being the away team. The Houston Astros' recent record against the Yankees is negative at 2-3, indicating that the Yankees have a proven capability to best the Astros. Furthermore, the Astros' average runs scored (3.4) is only marginally higher than the Yankees' (3.2), which suggests that the Yankees' offense can match the Astros'. Moreover, the Yankees have been more successful in limiting their opponents' scoring, with an average of 3.4 runs allowed compared to the Astros' 1.2. This defensive strength could be a significant factor in a potential Yankees victory. Therefore, based on the recent head-to-head record and comparative run statistics, it's reasonable to place a bet on the Yankees.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Astros, or as Astros vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Thursday 4 September 2025 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.