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Model picks & player props
MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Miami Marlins
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 2 markets for Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals and backs St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $1,180.

2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
St. Louis Cardinals
with a 3.5-run head start
St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$118.00Best price+1080
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win80.8%
The price says8.5%

The model graded 2 markets for Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $1,180 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 27 Jun 2026, 7:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 High81% chance +1080
Total Runs Members only High72% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Sat 27 Jun 2026: St. Louis Cardinals won 2-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
St. Louis Cardinals
+3.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Marlins

  • Jakob Marsee CFOut
  • Tyler Zuber RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Pete Fairbanks RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Owen Caissie RFOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Richard Fitts SPDay-to-day
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
Availability updated Oct 12, 7:26PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Miami Marlins L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Miami Marlins L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami MarlinsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
2.8runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Miami Marlins L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6MILAway
L2–3MILAway
L4–8MILAway
L1–2PITAway
W5–1PITAway
Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3ATLHome
L3–8ATLHome
W3–0ATLHome
L1–2CHCAway
W3–2CHCAway

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.2 runs per game (3-2) while Miami Marlins are at 3.6 (4-1); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Miami Marlins.

4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
3.6
Miami Marlins runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsMiami Marlins
Runs / game4.23.6
Hits / game4.83.6
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.02.8
Batter K / game1.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.01.2
Pitching K / game1.83.0
Walks allowed / game2.21.4
L5 record3-24-1

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 4, Miami Marlins won 4.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsMiami MarlinsWinner
Jun 2821St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 2704Miami Marlins
Jun 2715Miami Marlins
Apr 2214Miami Marlins
Apr 2153St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 2035Miami Marlins
Mar 2174St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1477Draw
Mar 822Draw
Mar 232St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Richard Fitts SPDAY-TO-DAY
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Jakob Marsee CFOUT
Tyler Zuber RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Pete Fairbanks RPOUT
Max Meyer SPOUT
Owen Caissie RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 0.5 bet on Ivan Herrera's stolen bases is a solid choice considering his recent and overall performance data. In his last five games overall, at home, and against this particular opponent, Herrera has not recorded any stolen bases. Even his caught stealing (Cs) averages are zero, indicating he's not attempting to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streaks both at home and overall, Herrera's base stealing rate remains consistently low. It's also important to note that a successful hit doesn't necessarily translate into a stolen base. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Herrera's stolen bases to stay under 0.5 in the upcoming game against the Miami Marlins.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Marlins vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Marlins. The most recent game between them was Saturday 27 June 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals head-to-head record

Final scores · 48 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 24–19 across the last 48 meetings · 5 draws · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 28 Jun 2026, Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals: the Cardinals won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals2–1St. Louis Cardinals
27 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals0–4Miami Marlins
26 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals0–4Miami Marlins
22 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins4–1Miami Marlins
21 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins3–5St. Louis Cardinals
20 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins5–3Miami Marlins
21 Mar 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals7–4St. Louis Cardinals
14 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins7–7Draw
8 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins2–2Draw
2 Mar 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 48 meetings on file.

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