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Model picks & player props
MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep 2026, 10:11 PM ET
San Diego Padres
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers and backs San Diego Padres hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $288.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
San Diego Padres
to win
San Diego Padres Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$28.80Best price+188
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.3%
The price says40.4%

The model graded 70 markets for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $288 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 24 Sep 2026, 10:11 PM ET at Dodger Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline San Diego Padres Long-shot37% chance +188
Total Runs Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot6% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean42% chance Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 62% Members
Batter - RBIs × 5 props Leanup to 42% Members
Batter - Hits × 7 props Highup to 65% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 6 props Highup to 65% Members
Batter - Singles × 6 props Highup to 68% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 66% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Walks × 8 props Leanup to 47% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Leanup to 46% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers last met on Thu 24 Sep 2026: San Diego Padres won 4-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
San Diego Padres
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Diego PadresMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Diego Padres

  • Adrian Morejon RPDay-to-day
  • Gavin Sheets 1BDay-to-day
  • Rodolfo Duran COut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Luis Rengifo LFOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tarik Skubal SP
Availability updated Oct 12, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tyler Glasnow LAD Pitcher - Outs
Jake Cronenworth SDP Batter - RBIs
Samad Taylor Batter - Hits
Samad Taylor Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Singles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.2Home L55-0vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.2Home L55-0vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego PadresNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
3.0runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA2.2Home L55-0vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 games; San Diego Padres have won 2 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1ATLAway
W3–1ATLAway
L2–3ATLHome
W5–3ATLHome
W5–1SFAway
San Diego Padres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3MILHome
W4–3MILHome
L2–3MILAway
L3–4MILAway
W4–1CHCHome

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 6, San Diego Padres won 4.

DateLos Angeles DodgersSan Diego PadresWinner
Sep 2524San Diego Padres
Sep 2415San Diego Padres
Sep 2370Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 530Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 525San Diego Padres
Jul 443Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 3127Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 28153Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 2842Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 2717San Diego Padres

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Brusdar Graterol RPOUT
San Diego Padres
PlayerStatus
Adrian Morejon RPDAY-TO-DAY
Gavin Sheets 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Rodolfo Duran COUT
Miguel Andujar DHOUT
Jeremiah Estrada RPOUT
Ramon Laureano LFOUT
Luis Rengifo LFOUT
Lucas Giolito SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for September 25, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 25, 2026 our model has run San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nick Pivetta (SDP) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-154), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Padres vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Padres. The most recent game between them was Thursday 24 September 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers head-to-head record

Final scores · 66 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 44–22 across the last 66 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Fri 25 Sep 2026, San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers: the Padres won 4-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–4San Diego Padres
24 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–5San Diego Padres
23 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers7–0Los Angeles Dodgers
22 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers7–0Los Angeles Dodgers
5 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–0Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–0Los Angeles Dodgers
3 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–7Los Angeles Dodgers
2 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–7Los Angeles Dodgers
28 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres3–15Los Angeles Dodgers
27 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres3–15Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 66 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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