On Sunday 4 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries to Win, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+110)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced some tough teams along the way, which makes their success even more impressive. They've also won 4 of their last 6, showing they can keep up the momentum. This matchup feels really close since both teams are playing well, but the Valkyries have home advantage. The Las Vegas Aces are no slouches either, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring a ton of points. However, they've been on the road for this game, which can make a difference in performance. Since it's such a tight matchup, the Valkyries have a real shot at winning, especially with the crowd behind them. Just remember, the Aces are strong, so it won't be easy. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced some tough teams, which makes their success even more impressive. Playing at home gives them a little boost, and they're looking to keep that momentum going against the Las Vegas Aces, who are also on a winning streak. The Aces have been scoring a ton lately, averaging over 91 points a game this season. However, the Valkyries have shown they can compete well against strong opponents. Since both teams are closely matched, the game could be a nail-biter. The biggest risk is that the Aces are tough to beat, but I think the Valkyries can cover the spread of +1.5. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Veronica Burton has been on fire lately, racking up assists as the Golden State Valkyries keep winning. They've taken 8 of their last 10 games, showing great teamwork and skill on the court. With their opponents, the Las Vegas Aces, also winning 8 of their last 10, this matchup is set to be a tight contest. The Aces score a lot, averaging 91.5 points a game, which means Burton will likely need to pass the ball a lot to keep up. Betting on Burton to get over 5.5 assists seems smart, given how close both teams are in form. One risk is that both teams are strong defensively, which could make it harder for her to find open players. Still, with the way she's been playing, it's a solid pick to consider. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Over 38.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
A'ja Wilson from the Las Vegas Aces is facing the Golden State Valkyries, and she's been on fire lately. The Aces are scoring a ton, averaging 91.5 points a game, and Wilson is a big part of that. She's also been snagging more offensive rebounds than usual, which helps boost her overall stats. With both teams playing well recently, this matchup should keep the scoring high. Betting on Wilson to get over 38.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like a solid choice. The Valkyries have faced a tough schedule, but they've still managed to win 8 of their last 10 games. One concern is how close both teams are in form, so it could be a battle. Still, Wilson's ability to contribute in multiple areas makes this a promising bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Stephanie Talbot Over 4.5 Rebounds and Assists (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Stephanie Talbot has been showing some solid play lately, especially at home, where she's been more active. She averages 1 assist and 1 rebound in home games, and that can help push her total over 4.5 when you combine those numbers. The Golden State Valkyries have been playing well, winning 4 of their last 6, but they've faced some tough teams this season, which makes this matchup interesting. The Las Vegas Aces are also strong, scoring a lot of points and winning 8 of their last 10 games. This means there could be plenty of opportunities for Talbot to rack up those rebounds and assists. The most concrete risk is how close the two teams are right now, so it's not a guaranteed win, but Talbot has a chance to shine tonight. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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