Dolphins v Sydney Roosters, 25 September 2026. Top of the list: Over 46.5 Total Points. Our model likes 4 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.
On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins play Sydney Roosters in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 46.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 46.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 46.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 46.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dolphins -2.5 on the Line (+100)
Odds available at TAB at time of publishing
On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins -2.5 Line. On this line Dolphins give up 2.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 2.5. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Thomas Flegler to Score a Try (+1500)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Thomas Flegler Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Thomas Flegler scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angus Crichton Over 1.5 Tries (+6000)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Angus Crichton Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Angus Crichton scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +6000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $610 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +6000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $610 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dolphins v Sydney Roosters. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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